# politic.design

> A data gazette on US politics, published by Brantopic. Every figure carries a source and a content-hash receipt. Counts are preliminary until states certify (December 2026).

## The 2026 midterms, in data (5–6 Nov 2026)

- Democrats won the 2026 House popular vote by 12 to 14 points (projected), the widest midterm margin for either party since 1974.
- Democrats are projected to win 256 to 260 House seats; 43 seats flipped to Democrats and 2 to Republicans (CBS News list, 5 Nov).
- Democrats flipped 7 Republican-held Senate seats: Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Iowa, Kansas and Maine. Alaska and Mississippi were uncalled on 6 Nov.
- Turnout was 48.8% of eligible voters, second only to 2018 among midterms in more than a century.
- Under-30s swung 33 points toward Democrats (D+8 to D+41) but were 11% of voters, moving the national margin about 3.6 points; white voters (73% of voters) moved it about 8.8 points.
- By voters' top issue, the state of democracy cost Republicans about 23.9 million net votes and immigration won them about 13.6 million (NBC News/SSRS exit poll).
- Democrats flipped all 28 Republican-held House seats that Trump won by less than ten points in 2024; six of their eight gains in seats Trump won by 15 or more came in North Carolina and Texas, which had redrawn their maps.
- All 254 Texas counties moved toward Democrats between the 2024 presidential and 2026 Senate votes; Starr County swung 72 points (Decision Desk HQ).
- Among 2026 voters, Harris 2024 voters outnumbered Trump 2024 voters 49 to 44; that turnout gap was worth about six points of margin.

## Pages

- [The 2026 midterms, in data](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/): five interactive stories, Brand Truth check of twelve media claims, methodology and sources.
- [Methodology](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/#methodology)

## About this gazette

- politic.design is a showcase made by Brantopic (https://brantopic.com/), a company-intelligence product in private build. It applies the tools Brantopic uses for companies (watching markets, industries and trending topics; checking claims; a source on every number) to the 2026 midterms. It has no affiliation with any political party, candidate or campaign, in the US or internationally; it is an independent, impartial exercise in data visualization and data reporting on political issues. More: https://politic.design/about/

## Open data

All articles and data are free to reuse under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit "politic.design". Third-party figures keep their sources' terms. Catalogue: https://politic.design/data/catalog.json · Everything in one Markdown file: https://politic.design/llms-full.txt

- [The 2026 midterms, in data](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/midterms-2026.pdf)
- [Weight Transfer](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/weight-transfer/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/weight-transfer/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/weight-transfer/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/weight-transfer/weight-transfer.pdf)
- [The Receipt](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/the-receipt/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/the-receipt/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/the-receipt/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/the-receipt/the-receipt.pdf)
- [The Blue Wave](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/blue-wave/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/blue-wave/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/blue-wave/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/blue-wave/blue-wave.pdf)
- [The Borderlands](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/borderlands/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/borderlands/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/borderlands/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/borderlands/borderlands.pdf)
- [Who Won the Convention](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/who-won-the-convention/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/who-won-the-convention/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/who-won-the-convention/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/who-won-the-convention/who-won-the-convention.pdf)
- [Brand Truth](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/brand-truth/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/brand-truth/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/brand-truth/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/brand-truth/brand-truth.pdf)
- [Many Streams, One Chamber](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/representation/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/representation/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/representation/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/representation/representation.pdf)
- [Methodology](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/methodology/): [Markdown](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/methodology/index.md) · [JSON](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/methodology/data.json) · [PDF](https://politic.design/midterms-2026/methodology/methodology.pdf)